Household credit strain is creeping in at the edges, and CIBC economist Benjamin Tal says it could spread to mortgages as payment shocks peak next year.
With nearly half of mortgages set to reset by 2026, Canada’s banks say strong borrower equity and falling rates will cushion households, even as arrears edge higher and affordability remains strained.
After a year of expected rate cuts, forecasters are starting to question how long Canada’s easing cycle will last—and whether rates might start rising again in 2026.
Le régulateur confirme une règle cruciale : les banques ne peuvent plus comptabiliser deux fois les revenus des emprunteurs lors de l'évaluation des prêts hypothécaires à des fins d'investissement
Both central banks are expected to cut rates this week, but CIBC economists say Canada’s weaker economy gives the Bank of Canada more room to move than the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Governor Tiff Macklem says the central bank will examine how its policies affect housing demand and affordability as part of its 2026 framework renewal.