Ronald Brownstein

A returning president who expects to govern without constraints leaves his opponents hoping to benefit from the backlash.

Small-town America voted heavily in his favor—but the policies he’s pledged won’t reward that faith.

The Harris-campaign leadership believes that the Democrats narrowed the gap on Trump that Biden left—but not by enough.

Swing-state successes in the last midterms gave the party false optimism about 2024.

For millions of Americans, an unacceptable present weighed more heavily than an uncertain future.

In the three crucial swing states, a large majority of voters were fiercely discontented.

This election will be decided not by another big popular vote but by the slenderest of margins in the Rust Belt battlegrounds.

The battleground state of Michigan reveals the Democrat’s most plausible path to winning the presidency.

The Democrat needs to remind voters about what they really didn’t like about his presidency.

The Democrat’s sense of vulnerability on the immigration issue may explain why she’s been reticent about Trump’s drastic plan.