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Conversations: Stabilisation vs Confrontation - The US, China and Australia - The Interpreter

Originally published on the Australian Financial Review

Originally published in the Australian Financial Review, 3 November 2023.

China’s remarkable economic rise has long been a key factor in global geopolitical discussions. But how soon and at what height will China’s economy peak? What are the implications for China’s ambitions in the world? For years, predictions suggested that China’s economic power would surpass that of the United States by the end of this decade. However, recent developments, backed by Lowy analysis, have challenged this assumption.

Ahead of Albanese’s first China visit, relaxation of punitive trade measures proves Xi will not sacrifice economy for politics.