The more the US depends on Australia, the more likely it will defend it, runs the logic. But if Trump returns to the White House, a rethink will be required.
In the first of a five-part series, international editor Peter Hartcher examines why Donald Trump is more inclined to like a US enemy than a friend if he wins a second term as president.
If America is incapable of funding a top strategic priority in the Pacific even when it has the support of both Democrats and Republicans, what can it achieve?