The state of the economy is generally strong and inflation is slowing down, but still remains elevated. The Federal Reserve made its first cut of 2025 on Sept. 17.
The conventional benchmark has been that two consecutive quarters of a generally slowing economy defines a recession. Therefore, the U.S. is not in a recession.
The trade war with China has been relit, as Trump threatened a new 100% tariff on Chinese goods in response to a move to limit rare earth mineral exports.
The state of the economy is generally strong and inflation is slowing down, but still remains elevated. The Federal Reserve is looking at key economic indicators to signal it’s time to cut rates.