Shawn Tully

Though bettors are favoring Trump, the data scientist who has been tracking this wild election is a lot less sure they're on the money this time.

Miller's numbers show a jaw-dropping swing to Harris that would have seemed unimaginable two weeks ago.

In presidential elections, fundamental and technical analysis are also the two leading methods for handicapping the outcome.

Thomas Miller, a data scientist at Northwestern University, bases his predictions not on the polls, but on where people are placing political bets.

Thomas Miller, a data scientist and professor at Northwestern University, says the 2024 presidential race has whipsawed over the past several weeks.

A trifecta of problems, some that started before she took the top job, ended the reign of one of the most powerful women in American business.

Thomas Miller, a professor at Northwestern University, maintains that his model guided by political betting data is a much better forecaster than polls.

Data scientist Thomas Miller has crafted a model for forecasting the 2024 presidential election that appears far more reliable than polling.

"That event, and not the debate that just made things worse for Trump, marked the decisive turning point in the campaign."

The election has "gone from a drastic landslide in Trump's direction to a drastic landslide for Harris," marvels Northwestern's Thomas Miller.