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Leith Van Onselen

Leith Van Onselen

Author at MacroBusiness at MacroBusiness

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      Recent Articles

      macrobusiness.com.au

      "Paralysed" housing market faces a 20% decline

      Australia’s housing market is facing its largest price correction in living memory. Cotality’s daily dwelling values index has plummeted by 7.6% since early April across the five major capital cities, led by Sydney, where values have fallen by 9.8%. Values continue to fall at a furious pace, down 4.2% over the past quarter: At this
      macrobusiness.com.au

      Private credit collapse cripples developers

      The private credit market, which has grown to around $200 billion in assets, has become a key lender to developers as traditional banks pull back from construction lending due to tightening risk appetites. However, the recent collapse of property developer Bathla Group has thrown the sector into disarray, and “the golden age of private credit
      macrobusiness.com.au

      Jim Chalmers fails to control budget spending

      I explained on Monday why Australia’s inflation problem is primarily domestically driven, in response to Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ claims that the war in the Middle East, not excessive government spending, was driving inflation. Former RBA governor Phil Lowe and other economists last week debunked Chalmers’ claims, insisting that excessive federal government spending is driving up
      macrobusiness.com.au

      Bathla’s collapse an iceberg for private credit market

      The private credit market, which has grown to around $200 billion in assets, has become a key lender to developers as traditional banks pull back from construction lending due to tightening risk appetites. However, the recent collapse of property developer Bathla Group has thrown the sector into disarray. Bathla Group entered voluntary administration in late
      macrobusiness.com.au

      Automation eliminates the need for mass immigration

      The business lobby, policymakers, and the federal government have long argued that Australia needs to run a mass immigration program to overcome future skills shortages. The argument generally goes something like this: Australia’s population is ageing fast, and with the large baby boomer cohort heading into retirement, Australia faces an acute shortage of workers. Australia
      macrobusiness.com.au

      Alarm bells sound for Australia’s private credit market

      On Tuesday, Bathla Group — one of western Sydney’s biggest home builders — entered voluntary administration after running out of cash, leaving $3.6 billion in private‑credit debt, 2,000 homes mid‑construction, and 15,000 planned dwellings in limbo. The failure threatens to disrupt the Albanese government’s national housing targets and could trigger major losses across dozens of non‑bank
      macrobusiness.com.au

      Pressure builds on Labor to stop international students from bringi...

      Graduate (485) visas have been the second-fastest-growing category of temporary visas since Labor came to office in mid-2022. According to the Department of Home Affairs, the number of graduate visas on issue ballooned by 172,000 between Q2 2022 and Q2 2026, an increase of 175%. Pauline Hanson has demanded that all secondary applicants on student
      macrobusiness.com.au

      Aussie mortgage holders are among the world’s most punished

      Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro published the following chart last week, illustrating how Australians are paying among the highest mortgage rates in the world: The gap in mortgage rates between Australia and New Zealand has also widened. Australia’s weighted-average mortgage rate was 6.28% in May, 1.45% higher than New Zealand’s 4.83%. Australia’s world-beating mortgage rates
      macrobusiness.com.au

      Aussies turn to caravans to ease cost of living

      Realestate.com.au reports that Australians — including high‑income professionals earning six‑figure salaries — are increasingly turning to van and caravan living as soaring rents, mortgage stress, and rising living costs make traditional housing feel unaffordable or not worth the pressure. Money.com.au’s survey shows: Almost 1 in 10 Australians lived in a caravan in the past year.
      macrobusiness.com.au

      Aussie energy regulator tackles the death spiral

      The electricity “death spiral” arises when demand for power declines, due in part to customers taking up solar PV, leading to higher prices to cover fixed network costs. That is, the more people that take up solar power, the faster the decline in electricity demand, and the more fixed costs must be spread over a
      macrobusiness.com.au

      Canada fixed its rental crisis. Australia chose not to.

      This week, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released data on net permanent & long-term (NPLT) arrivals, which remained at historically high levels in February 2026. In the year to February, 479,000 NPLT arrivals landed in Australia, a whisker below the all-time high level of 498,000 recorded two years prior in February 2024. The latest