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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

Election Analyst at The Conversation Australia

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Email address
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Influence score
57
Location
Australia
Languages
  • English
Covering topics
  • Politics

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Recent Articles

theconversation.com

Major YouGov poll has Labor easily winning a majority of seats in election

YouGov’s central forecast is Labor winning 84 of the 150 lower house seats for an 18-seat majority.
theconversation.com

Labor makes Senate gains, and left-wing parties will hold a Senate ...

Labor’s huge win in the House of Representatives looks like it will be mirrored by an improvement in their Senate representation too.
theconversation.com

Labor wins surprise landslide, returned with a thumping majority

Despite strong polling in Labor’s favour throughout the campaign, most numbers understated the extent of the swing.
theconversation.com

Likely final House seat outcome: 94 Labor, 44 Coalition, 12 Others

Almost all the lower house seats have been decided- but some will go for a recount.
theconversation.com

Final counting shows polls understated Labor in 2025 election almos...

The polls told us that Labor had recovered to an election-winning position, but they understated the magnitude of that win.
theconversation.com

Election flows reveal nearly 90% of Greens preferenced Labor ahead ...

While the lion’s share of Greens preferences went to Labor, 75% of One Nation put Coalition ahead.
theconversation.com

2 polls have Tasmania headed for another hung parliament, but disag...

Early voting has begun in the island state’s snap election - but the pollsters can’t decide which party might win.
theconversation.com

Labor leads in two Victorian state polls, but Premier Jacinta Allan...

Victorians are not happy with the Allan Labor government. But they’re not wild about the alternative, either.
theconversation.com

Polling shows Donald Trump’s ratings are poor – but they could be w...

Compared to other US presidents at the same point in their term, Trump’s ratings are only better than … his own.
theconversation.com

Trump’s approval ratings slide, with Americans angry over inflation...

Trump’s ratings are worse than any other US president since Harry Truman – they only top his own ratings at this stage of his first term.
theconversation.com

Trump’s ratings steady as the US government shutdown drags into a s...

The President’s polling results haven’t changed much since the government came to a standstill. Here’s why the shutdown came about and how it’s progressing.